Are Power LEDs Ready for the General Illumination Market?
By Christos Sarakinos, Engineer, Future Lighting Solutions
Since power LEDs were first introduced by Philips
Lumileds in 1999, entrepreneurs and environmentalists
have envisioned a world in which the majority
of lighting was solid-state based. Owing to their
seemingly infinite lifespan and the revolutionary
design possibilities their compact size enables,
power LEDs have gained widespread acceptance
by makers of traffic, emergency vehicle, portable
and niche medical products. Luminaire manufacturers
by contrast have been more reserved, patiently
awaiting a rival to traditional technologies,
one with higher efficiency and proven reliability. In
response to this, some power LED manufacturers
have regularly issued press releases announcing
exciting performance records – possible only
in the confines of their laboratories. Each time,
luminaire designers have asked in unison:
Are we there yet?

Figure 1 – Philips Lumileds’ industry-leading power LEDs,
the LUXEON K2 and the LUXEON Rebel
The Market
One indication comes from the increase in worldwide
concern for environmental issues. The evergrowing
list of countries, states and provinces that
have tabled proposals to ban incandescent bulbs
within the next decade include: Cuba, Venezuela,
Australia, California (USA) and Ontario (Canada).
Much of the “ban-the-bulb” legislation focuses on
the increased use of compact fluorescents, mainly
due to their high availability since the 1970s. Given
their slow startup, the inability to dim them, the
electronic interference they cause, as well as the
mercury contained within, consumers remain reluctant.
An alternative is needed.
When considering the viability of a light source, the
following factors are critical:
- System efficiency
- Quality of light
- Lifetime and reliability
- Affordability
The following sections examine each of these
factors, explain their relevance, and compare the
power LED with traditional technologies.
System Efficiency
One of the main pushes for alternative lighting
is reducing power consumption. The US Department
of Energy (DOE) recently estimated that 22%
of all the electricity generated in the US goes towards
lighting, representing $58 billion in annual
spending. The DOE is presently examining ways to
decrease this percentage to 11% by 2025.
Given this, it is useful to examine the efficiencies
of traditional sources. (Efficiency can be described
as the amount of light outputted by a source, relative
to the power consumed to create that light.)
According to the DOE, the average efficiency of
a regular light bulb (type “A” incandescent) is 15
lumens per watt. (A “lumen” is a measure of the
power of light, as perceived by the human eye.)
This means that for each watt of power used, 15
units of perceived light are produced. Tungsten
halogen bulbs, commonly seen in the MR16 form
factor and used in pot lighting, fare slightly better
at a source efficiency of 20 lumens per watt. High
pressure sodium lighting (the yellow light often
seen in parking garages), leads the pack at 100
lumens per watt, while fluorescent
tubes have a very respectable
efficiency of 65 lumens per watt.
When it comes to the power LED,
Philips Lumileds is among two
manufacturers who have made a
recent jump in efficiency and are able
to produce die for white LEDs that
attain 80 lumens per watt.
The values represented above, while
impressive, are not an accurate
representation of actual light fixtures.
The distinction must now be made
between the efficiency of the source,
and that of the system; there are three
variables that cause them to differ.
Regardless of the technology used,
there will always be a loss during the
transformation of power. Additionally,
it is virtually impossible to get
all the generated light from the
source to the targeted surface;
in this case, power LEDs fare better than
their traditional counterparts in that they are
directed sources, rather than omni-directional
ones. By contrast, the negative effects of heat are
far more pronounced with power LED fixtures than
in other systems. Table 1 summarizes the system
losses.

Table 1: Summary of System Losses and Corresponding System Efficiencies
When taking into account losses (namely power,
optical and thermal), the power LED has a system
efficiency of 50 lumens per watt, bringing it on
par with high pressure sodium bulbs. Figure 2
illustrates the danger of considering only source
efficiency, rather than system efficiency.

Figure 2: Comparison of Source Efficiency and System Efficiency for Various Technologies
(For more information on factors that affect
LED system efficiency, visit: www.FutureLightingSolutions.com)
Quality of Light
In lighting, the Color Rendering Index (CRI) can be
loosely defined as a rating of a light source’s
ability to make illuminated colors appear as they
should, out of 100. (Natural outdoor light, for
instance, has a CRI of 100.)
Combining the efficient sources into a single table
and adding a CRI field, we see that although high
pressure sodium has a relatively high system
efficiency, its CRI is low, meaning illuminated colors
tend to appear grey, regardless of their color.

Table 2: CRI Comparison of Technologies with High System Efficiencies
When considering the quality of white light, it becomes
apparent that high pressure sodium is not a
viable source for most lighting applications.
Lifetime and Reliability
Lifetime, robustness and reliability have historically
been the most publicized benefit of converting
to power LEDs. Comparing their lumen maintenance
(70% original light at 50K hours) with that
of a fluorescent bulb (16K hours), this advantage of
solid-state lighting becomes clear.

Table 3: Lifetime Comparison of Technologies with High System Efficiency and Reasonable CRI
* Although most power LED manufacturers claim 50K hours,
the real lifetime is dependent on a variety of factors.
There is an issue with power LED lifetimes that
bears elaboration, and it is this:
“All power LED lifetimes are equal but…
some power LED lifetimes are more equal
than others.”
With appropriate luminaire design, power LEDs
very rarely fail catastrophically. Rather, their light
diminishes gradually over time. As such, power
LED manufacturers have generally spoken in terms
of lumen maintenance (i.e. what the percentage of
light will be output after a given amount of time).
As the human eye can detect 20-30% decrease in
light output, the lumen maintenance figure most
often quoted is 70% light output after 50K hours.
Makers of power LED-based lighting products
have latched on to the “50K hours” claim, in many
cases without fully appreciating the assumptions,
and the conditions for which it is valid. Ultimately,
the luminaire manufacturers may be liable if their
fixture underperforms. To guarantee the lifetime
of a fixture, they must understand what lies
beneath the claims, and adapt their system design
accordingly.
Lumen maintenance claims do not and can not
exist in a vacuum. They depend on:
- The temperature within the power LED (i.e. the junction temperature)
- The current at which the power LED is driven
- Simple probability
Each power LED has an internal temperature for
which the lumen maintenance claims are valid.
The lower the temperature specified, the more
difficult the thermal design, and the less likely that
the system’s thermal design will be robust. Philips
Lumileds’ LUXEON K2 has a lumen maintenance
junction temperature of 120ºC, while the LUXEON
Rebel has one of 135ºC. This offers significantly
more thermal “headroom” than 80ºC– the lumen
maintenance junction temperature specified by
most other manufacturers.
Additionally, most lumen maintenance claims are
valid only at the rated drive current of 350mA.
The fact is: greater drive currents means faster
degradation of light output.
Another misconception is that lumen maintenance
claims are guarantees; in fact, they are simply
averages. The claim of 70% at 50K hours means
that half the time there will be more light, and half
the time there will be less. Challenges arise when
trying to specify the lifetime of a luminaire, based
solely on an average.
In an effort to guide luminaire designers, Philips
Lumileds is the only maker of power LEDs that has
released detailed documentation illustrating the
effects of relevant factors on their product’s lifetime.
This documentation contains “B&L” curves,
where “L” represents the percentage of original
light output, and “B” represents the percentage
of LEDs that will be below the light output
specified in “L”. (For instance, B10, L70 curves
show the time at which 90% of the parts will have
70% of their original light output.) Figure 3 illustrates
the B10, L70 curves for the LUXEON K2 and
the LUXEON Rebel, clearly indicating the effect of
junction temperature and drive current.

Figure 3: Expected Lifetime for 90% of White LUXEON K2 and White LUXEON Rebel
These graphs allow for the qualified design of luminaires,
as well as confident lifetime declarations
and guarantees by their makers.
For more information on the reliability of power LEDs, click here.
Affordability
The trend over the last three decades has been
twofold:
- Decreasing cost of light
- Increasing light output per package
Although cost estimates are obviously applicationand
design-dependent, increasing efficiencies and
decreasing costs have allowed power LEDs to
approach the levels of traditional technologies.

Figure 4: Trend of decrease in cost of light, and increase in light output per package
While recent increases in efficiency have thrown
power LEDs into the spotlight, their ability to
radically reduce maintenance costs (enabled by
their lifetime), has historically been the driving
force behind their adoption. Although perhaps
marginally more expensive at the onset, their long
term savings can be significant, as illustrated in
Figure 5.

Figure 5: Cost of a power LED-based system relative to traditional lighting system
Conclusion
With proper system design, power LED lighting
is efficient, predictably reliable (with the right
tools!), affordable, and of a suitable quality.
Acknowledging this, ENERGY STAR® (a joint program
of the U.S. Environment Protection Agency
and the U.S. Department of Energy) has released
a draft of its specification entitled Program
Requirements for Solid State Lighting Luminaires.
According to the researchers at Strategies
Unlimited, the market for white power LEDs in
lighting is widely expected to grow to an average
annual rate of 47% for the next five years, expanding
from $88 million in 2006 to $610 million
by 2011. It stands to reason that the market for
power LED-based luminaires will grow along
similar lines.
Are we there yet? Yes, we definitely are.
DOE ENERGY STAR® Program for Solid-State Lighting
The ENERGY STAR label is a highly valued and widely recognized mark of energy efficiency that helps guide the American public to
select cost-effective, energy-efficient products. As part of DOE’s national strategy to accelerate market introduction of high efficiency
SSL products, the Department is leading ENERGY STAR management, specification development, and partner relations for SSL devices
used for general illumination, including:
- Residential, commercial, industrial, and outdoor lighting SSL applications of all types
- Innovative SSL systems applications of all types (includes "free-form" SSL systems, and those incorporated into furniture, buildings, and equipment)
The DOE ENERGY STAR strategy for SSL general illumination products establishes near-term and long-term requirements. The
near-term transitional criteria apply to niche application products that are at least as efficient as fluorescent light sources. The long-term
criteria are for future products that are far more efficient. The rapid pace of SSL performance improvements will require DOE to periodically
review and amend the criteria to parallel technological advances and ensure the criteria remain up-to-date.
For more information on ENERGY STAR® (a joint program of the U.S. Environment Protection Agency and the U.S. Department of
Energy) and its released draft of its specification entitled Program Requirements for Solid State Lighting Luminaries,
click here.
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